本书结合十四五配电网规划相关要求与山东省相关工作实践，从配电网规划方法、目标、策略、深度要求等方面对新形势下配电网规划相关内容进行了全面梳理，提出高效利用设备、精准预测负荷、科学确定发展重点、差异化制定目标、优化规划工作体系、推广乡村电网网格化规划等山东省十四五配电网规划
方法及策略。本书共分三篇十章，分别是配电网规划重点篇、配电网规划方法篇、配电网规划策略篇。并附有配电网设
施空间布局规划内容深度规定。
依据《配电网规划设计技术导则》等技术标准和规范，紧扣新发展理念、国家重大战略、高质量发展，从配电网发展趋势及重点、配电网负荷预测及规划、配电网设备效率提升、配电网精益投资、配电网适应国土空间规划等维度开展专题研究，并在研究成果基础上，总结提炼新形势下山东省十四五配电网规划方法及策略
前 言能源安全新战略提出以来，清洁低碳、安全高效的能源体系稳步发展，清洁化率、电气化率等关键转型指标显著提升，电网在其中发挥了关键作用。2020年9 月，我国提出了碳达峰、碳中和的战略目标。践行双碳战略，能源是主战场，电力是主力军。电力作为清洁高效的二次能源，在未来人类文明将起到重要的能源载体作用，而未来的电网除了承担电力安全可靠输送，也将发展成为承载能源革命的基础性平台，对能源革命具有重大推动作用。配电网是电网的重要组成部分，是保障电力配得下、用得上的关键环节，配电网的发展直接决定未来电力获得的质量，也间接影响能源革命的进程。因此亟需对配电网的发展趋势进行研判，提前谋划新形势下十四五配电网重点发展方向和工作重点，深化细化十四五配电网规划研究，助力新型电力系统建设与发展。为此，国网山东省电力公司发展策划部、国网山东省电力公司经济技术研究院依据《配电网规划设计技术导则》等技术标准和规范，紧扣新发展理念、国家重大战略、高质量发展，从配电网发展趋势及重点、配电网负荷预测及规划、配电网设备效率提升、配电网精益投资、配电网适应国土空间规划等维度开展专题研究，并在研究成果基础上，总结提炼新形势下山东省十四五配电网规划方法及策略，编制形成《山东配电网规划指导手册》，为配电网高质量发展做好支撑。编 者2022 年11 月
国网山东省电力公司是国家电网公司的全资子公司。本部设22个部门，下辖18家地市级供电企业、17家业务支撑单位和综合单位，3家新兴产业单位及98家县供电公司，服务电力客户4915万。2020年，全省全社会用电量6939.85亿千瓦时，公司完成售电量4126.9亿千瓦时，同比增长3.96%。国网山东省电力公司发展策划部是所属一个部门。,国网山东省电力公司经济技术研究院成立于2012年4月9日，是省公司电网发展和公司发展支撑单位，目前具备工程咨询、工程设计双甲资质，设有4个职能部室、3个中心和1个子公司。主要负责全省电网规划和工程设计技术归口管理；负责全省电网发展总体规划和专项规划的研究与编制；负责220～500千伏电网规划的研究和编制；负责35千伏及以下电网规划评审，指导市经研所具体编制110千伏及以下电网规划并纳入全省电网发展规划和专项规划；负责牵头开展省内220～500千伏电网项目可研、电力设施迁改方案编制；负责110～220千伏电网项目可研、电力设施迁改方案、电源接入系统方案评审；承担所辖35～220千伏（规模以下）电网项目初设评审和结算审核；负责省公司资本类、成本类项目的技经业务支撑；负责电网建设项目的工程质量监督，负责定额站、质监中心站日常管理；主要承接220千伏及以上电网项目设计；负责大修技改、营销、信息通信、小型基建等项目造价咨询和可研初设评审工作。
目 录
前言
第一篇 配电网规划重点 ····························································· 1
第一章 智慧配电网发展概述 ····························································· 2
第一节 智慧配电网国内外发展现状 ················································· 2
第二节 智慧配电网的内涵特征和评估指标 ········································ 6
第三节 智慧配电网的发展框架与重点任务 ········································ 9
第四节 智慧配电网规划示范工程 ··················································· 21
第二章 十四五配电网发展重点 ···················································· 24
第一节 配电网国内外发展情况分析 ················································ 24
第二节 配电网发展趋势分析 ························································· 29
第三节 配电网发展原则 ······························································· 29
第四节 城农网发展建设重点 ························································· 31
第五节 分电压等级建设重点 ························································· 33
第六节 分供电区域建设重点 ························································· 35
第二篇 配电网规划方法······························································· 39
第三章 新形势下配电网负荷预测 ······················································ 40
第一节 多元化负荷特性分析 ························································· 40
第二节 新形势下配电网负荷预测方法 ············································· 45
第三节 多元化负荷接入配电网适应性分析 ······································· 62
第四章 乡村振兴战略下网格化规划 ··················································· 65
第一节 规划总体思路 ·································································· 65
第二节 配电网分析指标体系构建 ·················································· 67
第三节 乡村配电网网格划分方法 ·················································· 71
第四节 基于乡村负荷组的负荷预测方法 ········································· 75
第五节 乡村中压网架规划方法 ····················································· 82
第三篇 配电网规划策略 ···························································· 90
第五章 高压配电网设备利用效率提升策略 ········································· 91
第一节 设备利用效率影响因素分析 ·············································· 91
第二节 设备最佳负载能力计算模型 ·············································· 93
第三节 设备利用效率指标评价体系 ············································· 100
第四节 优化策略分析 ································································ 109
第六章 10kV 配电变压器效率效益提升策略 ······································ 114
第一节 配电变压器典型应用场景分类 ·········································· 114
第二节 典型应用场景的负荷特性分析 ·········································· 115
第三节 配电变压器效率效益情况分析 ·········································· 120
第四节 配电变压器的最优效率效益测算 ······································· 127
第五节 配电变压器运行效率效益提升策略 ···································· 139
第七章 配电网规划投资分配优化策略 ·············································· 146
第一节 投资规模影响因素 ························································· 146
第二节 分地区配电网规划投资规模确定 ······································· 148
第三节 分电压等级配电网规划投资规模确定 ································· 152
第四节 项目投资优选排序 ························································· 159
第五节 配电网规划投资分配流程 ················································ 163
第八章 配电网规划信息化建设策略 ················································· 164
第一节 配电网规划信息化建设背景 ············································· 164
第二节 信息化建设总体技术路线 ················································ 165
第三节 信息化建设需求及技术实现路线 ······································· 166
第九章 新形势下配电网规划管理策略 ·············································· 174
第一节 国土空间规划对配电网规划的影响 ····································· 174
第二节 国土空间布局下的配电网规划体系 ····································· 176
第三节 国土空间布局下的配电网规划工作流程 ······························· 181
第四节 国土空间布局下的配电网工作机制 ····································· 185
第十章 配电网设施空间布局规划内容深度规定 ································· 189
第一节 国土空间规划对现有配电网设施布局规划的影响 ·················· 189
第二节 配电网设施空间布局规划总体策略 ····································· 190
第三节 配电网设施空间布局内容深度规定主要变化及优势 ··············· 193
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